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Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction

Bundesliga · Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 14:30 (UK time)

Final score: Werder Bremen 2 – 2 SC Paderborn 07

The model gave a draw only 29%. At 29%, an outcome happens about 29 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Werder Bremen
VS
SC Paderborn 07
Werder Bremen win
46%
Draw
29%
SC Paderborn 07 win
25%
Expected goals
1.7 – 1.3
Expected shots
14 – 20

Match analysis

Werder Bremen holds a real edge (46% vs 25%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (29%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 17 October at 13:30 (UK time).

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