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Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart prediction

Bundesliga · Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 14:30 (UK time)

Final score: Hamburger SV 1 – 0 VfB Stuttgart

The model gave a Hamburger SV win only 23%. At 23%, an outcome happens about 23 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Hamburger SV
VS
VfB Stuttgart
Hamburger SV win
23%
Draw
26%
VfB Stuttgart win
51%
Expected goals
1.4 – 2.0
Expected shots
8 – 25

Match analysis

VfB Stuttgart comes out on top in most scenarios (51% win rate), but Hamburger SV finds a way in 23% of simulations.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 17 October at 13:30 (UK time).

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