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Metz vs Sochaux prediction

Ligue 2 · Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (UK time)

Final score: Metz 3 – 2 Sochaux

The outcome rated most likely (a Metz win, 56%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Metz
VS
Sochaux
Metz win
56%
Draw
30%
Sochaux win
14%
Expected goals
1.6 – 0.8
Expected shots
15 – 11

Match analysis

Metz comes out on top in most scenarios (56% win rate), but Sochaux finds a way in 14% of simulations. Metz frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 44% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 17 October at 12:00 (UK time).

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