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Venezia vs Napoli prediction

Serie A · Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)

Final score: Venezia 1 – 0 Napoli

The model gave a Venezia win only 31%. At 31%, an outcome happens about 31 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Venezia
VS
Napoli
Venezia win
31%
Draw
25%
Napoli win
44%
Expected goals
1.8 – 2.1
Expected shots
13 – 23

Match analysis

Napoli holds a real edge (44% vs 31%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (25%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 17 October at 13:01 (UK time).

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