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Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid prediction

La Liga · Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (UK time)

Final score: Espanyol 0 – 1 Atletico Madrid

The outcome rated most likely (a Atletico Madrid win, 53%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Espanyol
VS
Atletico Madrid
Espanyol win
20%
Draw
27%
Atletico Madrid win
53%
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.8
Expected shots
6 – 25

Match analysis

Atletico Madrid comes out on top in most scenarios (53% win rate), but Espanyol finds a way in 20% of simulations.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 17 October at 12:01 (UK time).

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