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Nantes vs Dunkerque prediction

Ligue 2 · Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (UK time)

Final score: Nantes 2 – 3 Dunkerque

The model gave a Dunkerque win only 29%. At 29%, an outcome happens about 29 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Nantes
VS
Dunkerque
Nantes win
37%
Draw
34%
Dunkerque win
29%
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.1
Expected shots
18 – 10

Match analysis

Genuinely open contest: Nantes and Dunkerque finish within a few points of each other (37% vs 29%), with the draw at 34%. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 48% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 17 October at 12:00 (UK time).

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