La Liga · Sunday, 20 September 2026 at 17:30 (UK time)
Final score: Villarreal 3 – 1 Levante
The outcome rated most likely (a Villarreal win, 36%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
Villarreal
VS
Levante
Villarreal win
36%
Draw
33%
Levante win
31%
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.2
Expected shots
14 – 9
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 20 September at 16:53 (UK time).