Premier League · Sunday, 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)
Final score: Leeds 0 – 0 Crystal Palace
The model gave a draw only 20%. At 20%, an outcome happens about 20 times in 100: that is what a probability means.
Leeds
VS
Crystal Palace
Leeds win
66%
Draw
20%
Crystal Palace win
14%
Expected goals
2.7 – 1.3
Expected shots
15 – 12
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 20 September at 13:24 (UK time).