La Liga · Sunday, 20 September 2026 at 13:00 (UK time)
Final score: Getafe 1 – 0 Malaga
The outcome rated most likely (a Getafe win, 46%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
Getafe
VS
Malaga
Getafe win
46%
Draw
37%
Malaga win
17%
Expected goals
1.1 – 0.6
Expected shots
11 – 11
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 20 September at 12:23 (UK time).