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Parma vs Genoa prediction

Serie A · Sunday, 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)

Final score: Parma 2 – 1 Genoa

The model gave a Parma win only 35%. At 35%, an outcome happens about 35 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Parma
VS
Genoa
Parma win
35%
Draw
38%
Genoa win
27%
Expected goals
1.0 – 0.8
Expected shots
10 – 20

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 20 September at 13:23 (UK time).

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