Ligue 1 · Sunday, 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)
Final score: Auxerre 2 – 1 Stade Brestois 29
The model gave a Auxerre win only 26%. At 26%, an outcome happens about 26 times in 100: that is what a probability means.
Auxerre
VS
Stade Brestois 29
Auxerre win
26%
Draw
30%
Stade Brestois 29 win
44%
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.7
Expected shots
12 – 21
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 20 September at 13:23 (UK time).