Serie A · Sunday, 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)
Final score: Frosinone 2 – 0 Como
The model gave a Frosinone win only 22%. At 22%, an outcome happens about 22 times in 100: that is what a probability means.
Frosinone
VS
Como
Frosinone win
22%
Draw
31%
Como win
47%
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.6
Expected shots
16 – 23
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 20 September at 13:23 (UK time).