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Fiorentina vs Napoli prediction

Serie A · Sunday, 20 September 2026 at 11:30 (UK time)

Final score: Fiorentina 1 – 1 Napoli

The model gave a draw only 26%. At 26%, an outcome happens about 26 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Fiorentina
VS
Napoli
Fiorentina win
48%
Draw
26%
Napoli win
26%
Expected goals
2.1 – 1.6
Expected shots
19 – 11

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 20 September at 10:53 (UK time).

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