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Bournemouth vs Liverpool prediction

Premier League · Sunday, 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)

Final score: Bournemouth 0 – 1 Liverpool

The model gave a Liverpool win only 27%. At 27%, an outcome happens about 27 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Bournemouth
VS
Liverpool
Bournemouth win
43%
Draw
30%
Liverpool win
27%
Expected goals
1.7 – 1.4
Expected shots
18 – 14

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 20 September at 13:24 (UK time).

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