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Villarreal vs Elche prediction

La Liga · Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:15 (UK time)

Final score: Villarreal 0 – 0 Elche

The model gave a draw only 25%. At 25%, an outcome happens about 25 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Villarreal
VS
Elche
Villarreal win
63%
Draw
25%
Elche win
12%
Expected goals
1.9 – 0.8
Expected shots
25 – 7

Match analysis

Villarreal comes out on top in most scenarios (62% win rate), but Elche finds a way in 12% of simulations. Villarreal frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 54% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 17 October at 14:30 (UK time).

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