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Valencia vs Athletic Club prediction

La Liga · Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Final score: Valencia 0 – 0 Athletic Club

The model gave a draw only 29%. At 29%, an outcome happens about 29 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Valencia
VS
Athletic Club
Valencia win
24%
Draw
29%
Athletic Club win
47%
Expected goals
0.9 – 1.4
Expected shots
9 – 18

Match analysis

Athletic Club holds a real edge (47% vs 24%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (29%) stays a live option. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 46% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 17 October at 19:32 (UK time).

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