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Udinese vs Lecce prediction

Serie A · Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 11:30 (UK time)

Final score: Udinese 0 – 3 Lecce

The model gave a Lecce win only 22%. At 22%, an outcome happens about 22 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Udinese
VS
Lecce
Udinese win
50%
Draw
28%
Lecce win
22%
Expected goals
1.5 – 0.9
Expected shots
20 – 11

Match analysis

Udinese holds a real edge (50% vs 22%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (28%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 18 October at 10:59 (UK time).

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