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Bournemouth vs Sunderland prediction

Premier League · Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)

Final score: Bournemouth 2 – 0 Sunderland

The outcome rated most likely (a Bournemouth win, 44%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Bournemouth
VS
Sunderland
Bournemouth win
44%
Draw
24%
Sunderland win
32%
Expected goals
1.9 – 1.6
Expected shots
16 – 14

Match analysis

Bournemouth holds a real edge (44% vs 33%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (24%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 18 October at 13:06 (UK time).

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