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Osasuna vs Racing Santander prediction

La Liga · Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 13:00 (UK time)

Final score: Osasuna 2 – 0 Racing Santander

The outcome rated most likely (a Osasuna win, 57%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Osasuna
VS
Racing Santander
Osasuna win
57%
Draw
20%
Racing Santander win
23%
Expected goals
2.5 – 1.6
Expected shots
11 – 13

Match analysis

Osasuna comes out on top in most scenarios (57% win rate), but Racing Santander finds a way in 23% of simulations. Osasuna frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 45% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 18 October at 12:29 (UK time).

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