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Brighton vs Crystal Palace prediction

Premier League · Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)

Final score: Brighton 5 – 0 Crystal Palace

The outcome rated most likely (a Brighton win, 89%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Brighton
VS
Crystal Palace
Brighton win
89%
Draw
7%
Crystal Palace win
4%
Expected goals
3.9 – 0.8
Expected shots
25 – 7

Match analysis

Brighton dominates this matchup: 89% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 4% for Crystal Palace. Brighton frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 72% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 18 October at 13:06 (UK time).

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