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Angers vs Marseille prediction

Ligue 1 · Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)

Final score: Angers 2 – 5 Marseille

The outcome rated most likely (a Marseille win, 43%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Angers
VS
Marseille
Angers win
31%
Draw
26%
Marseille win
43%
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.6
Expected shots
10 – 24

Match analysis

Marseille holds a real edge (42% vs 31%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (26%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 18 October at 13:06 (UK time).

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