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Fiorentina vs Como prediction

Serie A · Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)

Final score: Fiorentina 1 – 3 Como

The outcome rated most likely (a Como win, 47%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Fiorentina
VS
Como
Fiorentina win
27%
Draw
26%
Como win
47%
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.7
Expected shots
10 – 24

Match analysis

Como holds a real edge (47% vs 27%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (26%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 18 October at 13:06 (UK time).

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