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Twente vs FC Thun prediction

Conference League · Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Twente
VS
FC Thun
Twente win
72%
Draw
18%
FC Thun win
10%
Expected goals
2.7 – 1.1
Expected shots
25 – 7

Match analysis

Twente dominates this matchup: 72% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 10% for FC Thun. Twente frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 56% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 October at 01:21 (UK time).

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