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Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction

Europa League · Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)

Lech Poznan
VS
Bayer Leverkusen
Lech Poznan win
30%
Draw
28%
Bayer Leverkusen win
42%
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.9
Expected shots
9 – 25

Match analysis

Bayer Leverkusen holds a real edge (42% vs 30%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (27%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 October at 01:18 (UK time).

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