Conference League · Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)
CSKA Sofia
VS
Monaco
CSKA Sofia win
32%
Draw
28%
Monaco win
40%
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.8
Expected shots
8 – 18
Match analysis
Genuinely open contest: CSKA Sofia and Monaco finish within a few points of each other (32% vs 40%), with the draw at 28%.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 October at 01:19 (UK time).