Europa League · Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)
Celje
VS
Omonia Nicosia
Celje win
28%
Draw
31%
Omonia Nicosia win
41%
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.5
Expected shots
14 – 25
Match analysis
Omonia Nicosia holds a real edge (41% vs 28%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (32%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 October at 01:18 (UK time).