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Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom prediction

Europa League · Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)

Sparta Praha
VS
Lillestrom
Sparta Praha win
52%
Draw
27%
Lillestrom win
21%
Expected goals
2.0 – 1.3
Expected shots
25 – 12

Match analysis

Sparta Praha comes out on top in most scenarios (52% win rate), but Lillestrom finds a way in 21% of simulations. Sparta Praha frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 47% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 October at 01:19 (UK time).

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