AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction

Europa League · Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)

AZ Alkmaar

VS

Hapoel Beer Sheva

AZ Alkmaar win

55%

Draw

28%

Hapoel Beer Sheva win

17%

Match analysis

AZ Alkmaar comes out on top in most scenarios (55% win rate), but Hapoel Beer Sheva finds a way in 17% of simulations. AZ Alkmaar frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 46% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 October at 01:18 (UK time).

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