Europa League · Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)
Torreense
VS
Sunderland
Torreense win
4%
Draw
13%
Sunderland win
83%
Expected goals
0.8 – 3.1
Expected shots
5 – 25
Match analysis
Sunderland dominates this matchup: 83% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 5% for Torreense. Sunderland frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 66% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 October at 01:19 (UK time).