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Red Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan prediction

Europa League · Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)

Red Bull Salzburg
VS
AC Milan
Red Bull Salzburg win
38%
Draw
29%
AC Milan win
33%
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.5
Expected shots
10 – 23

Match analysis

Genuinely open contest: Red Bull Salzburg and AC Milan finish within a few points of each other (38% vs 33%), with the draw at 29%.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 October at 01:19 (UK time).

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