Nations League · Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Switzerland
VS
FYR Macedonia
Switzerland win
90%
Draw
8%
FYR Macedonia win
2%
Expected goals
3.3 – 0.5
Expected shots
25 – 4
Match analysis
Switzerland dominates this matchup: 90% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 2% for FYR Macedonia. Switzerland frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 78% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 September at 01:10 (UK time).