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England vs Czechia prediction

Nations League · Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

England
VS
Czechia
England win
81%
Draw
14%
Czechia win
5%
Expected goals
3.1 – 0.9
Expected shots
25 – 5

Match analysis

England dominates this matchup: 81% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 5% for Czechia. England frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 68% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 September at 01:10 (UK time).

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