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Belarus vs Finland prediction

Nations League · Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Belarus
VS
Finland
Belarus win
31%
Draw
32%
Finland win
37%
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.4
Expected shots
12 – 12

Match analysis

Genuinely open contest: Belarus and Finland finish within a few points of each other (31% vs 37%), with the draw at 32%.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 September at 01:10 (UK time).

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