Nations League · Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 15:00 (UK time)
Kazakhstan
VS
Faroe Islands
Kazakhstan win
53%
Draw
29%
Faroe Islands win
18%
Expected goals
1.7 – 1.0
Expected shots
11 – 13
Match analysis
Kazakhstan comes out on top in most scenarios (53% win rate), but Faroe Islands finds a way in 18% of simulations. Kazakhstan frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 43% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 September at 01:10 (UK time).