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Albania vs San Marino prediction

Nations League · Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Albania
VS
San Marino
Albania win
67%
Draw
22%
San Marino win
11%
Expected goals
2.1 – 0.8
Expected shots
25 – 4

Match analysis

Albania dominates this matchup: 67% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 11% for San Marino. Albania frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 53% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 September at 01:10 (UK time).

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