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SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg prediction

Bundesliga · Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 14:30 (UK time)

Final score: SV Elversberg 4 – 3 FC Augsburg

The model gave a SV Elversberg win only 16%. At 16%, an outcome happens about 16 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

SV Elversberg
VS
FC Augsburg
SV Elversberg win
16%
Draw
22%
FC Augsburg win
62%
Expected goals
1.4 – 2.5
Expected shots
14 – 15

Match analysis

FC Augsburg comes out on top in most scenarios (62% win rate), but SV Elversberg finds a way in 16% of simulations. FC Augsburg frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 48% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 17 October at 13:31 (UK time).

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