Conference League · Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
St. Truiden
VS
FC Iberia 1999
St. Truiden win
82%
Draw
13%
FC Iberia 1999 win
5%
Expected goals
3.0 – 0.8
Expected shots
25 – 8
Match analysis
St. Truiden dominates this matchup: 82% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 4% for FC Iberia 1999. St. Truiden frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 66% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 8 October at 01:21 (UK time).