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Scotland vs Slovenia prediction

Nations League · Tuesday, 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Scotland
VS
Slovenia
Scotland win
48%
Draw
33%
Slovenia win
19%
Expected goals
1.4 – 0.8
Expected shots
20 – 7

Match analysis

Scotland holds a real edge (48% vs 19%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (33%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 29 September at 01:10 (UK time).

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