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Sassuolo vs AC Milan prediction

Serie A · Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 17:00 (UK time)

Sassuolo
VS
AC Milan
Sassuolo win
26%
Draw
30%
AC Milan win
44%
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.6
Expected shots
10 – 24

Match analysis

AC Milan holds a real edge (44% vs 26%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (30%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 4 October at 01:10 (UK time).

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