Premier League · Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)
Crystal Palace
VS
Nottingham Forest
Crystal Palace win
28%
Draw
29%
Nottingham Forest win
43%
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.7
Expected shots
10 – 22
Match analysis
Nottingham Forest holds a real edge (43% vs 28%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (30%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 4 October at 01:10 (UK time).