Bundesliga · Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 14:30 (UK time)
1. FC Köln
VS
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1. FC Köln win
31%
Draw
24%
Borussia Mönchengladbach win
45%
Expected goals
2.0 – 2.4
Expected shots
17 – 20
Match analysis
Borussia Mönchengladbach holds a real edge (45% vs 31%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (24%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 4 October at 01:10 (UK time).