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Hull City vs Everton prediction

Premier League · Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)

Hull City
VS
Everton
Hull City win
23%
Draw
37%
Everton win
40%
Expected goals
0.8 – 1.1
Expected shots
9 – 19

Match analysis

Everton holds a real edge (39% vs 23%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (37%) stays a live option. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 48% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 4 October at 01:10 (UK time).

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