Serie A · Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 11:30 (UK time)
Como
VS
AS Roma
Como win
19%
Draw
27%
AS Roma win
54%
Expected goals
1.2 – 2.0
Expected shots
14 – 20
Match analysis
AS Roma comes out on top in most scenarios (54% win rate), but Como finds a way in 20% of simulations. AS Roma frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 47% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 4 October at 01:10 (UK time).