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Lazio vs Monza prediction

Serie A · Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)

Lazio
VS
Monza
Lazio win
68%
Draw
21%
Monza win
11%
Expected goals
2.5 – 1.1
Expected shots
16 – 12

Match analysis

Lazio dominates this matchup: 68% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 11% for Monza. Lazio frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 56% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 4 October at 01:10 (UK time).

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