La Liga · Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 13:00 (UK time)
Elche
VS
Celta Vigo
Elche win
16%
Draw
27%
Celta Vigo win
57%
Expected goals
1.0 – 1.8
Expected shots
10 – 18
Match analysis
Celta Vigo comes out on top in most scenarios (57% win rate), but Elche finds a way in 16% of simulations. Celta Vigo frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 49% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 4 October at 01:10 (UK time).