Ligue 1 · Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)
Nice
VS
Strasbourg
Nice win
33%
Draw
31%
Strasbourg win
36%
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.4
Expected shots
12 – 18
Match analysis
Genuinely open contest: Nice and Strasbourg finish within a few points of each other (33% vs 36%), with the draw at 31%.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 4 October at 01:10 (UK time).