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Lecce vs Bologna prediction

Serie A · Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)

Lecce
VS
Bologna
Lecce win
34%
Draw
33%
Bologna win
33%
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.3
Expected shots
9 – 22

Match analysis

Genuinely open contest: Lecce and Bologna finish within a few points of each other (34% vs 33%), with the draw at 33%.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 4 October at 01:10 (UK time).

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