La Liga · Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 15:15 (UK time)
Real Sociedad
VS
Deportivo La Coruna
Real Sociedad win
30%
Draw
35%
Deportivo La Coruna win
35%
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.2
Expected shots
17 – 13
Match analysis
Genuinely open contest: Real Sociedad and Deportivo La Coruna finish within a few points of each other (30% vs 35%), with the draw at 35%. The first half is often locked (draw at the break in 47% of runs) before the game opens up after the restart.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 4 October at 01:10 (UK time).