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Rennes vs Auxerre prediction

Ligue 1 · Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 16:15 (UK time)

Rennes
VS
Auxerre
Rennes win
69%
Draw
21%
Auxerre win
10%
Expected goals
2.4 – 0.9
Expected shots
22 – 10

Match analysis

Rennes dominates this matchup: 69% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 10% for Auxerre. Rennes frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 57% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 4 October at 01:10 (UK time).

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