Ligue 2 · Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 19:00 (UK time)
Final score: RED Star FC 93 0 – 1 Saint Etienne
The outcome rated most likely (a Saint Etienne win, 48%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
RED Star FC 93
VS
Saint Etienne
RED Star FC 93 win
26%
Draw
26%
Saint Etienne win
48%
Expected goals
1.6 – 2.2
Expected shots
11 – 15
Match analysis
Saint Etienne holds a real edge (48% vs 26%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (26%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 17 October at 18:01 (UK time).